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Old 07-27-2011, 12:25 PM
Smokin Joe Smokin Joe is offline
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Default July 28 SW ON?

I see spc has sw on in a slight risk area. Also accuweather Canadian blog is saying severe storms in sw Ontario tomorrow morning. Looking at kdtx they are only saying only flooding possible. Kdtx forecast was out before the last spc update and accuweather is known to exagerate. Anyone have any thoughts on tomorrow? I'm on holidays and I'd drive down if something strong was coming....probably too tough to call but it seems like they're saying there may be something?
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Old 07-27-2011, 12:42 PM
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Derecho Derecho is offline
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Default Re: July 28 SW ON?

Looks like much of SON will be dealing with mid morning to afternoon leftover crapvection from tomorrow's MCS in Wisconsin. I wouldn't get too excited about the storm risk.
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Old 07-27-2011, 12:55 PM
Smokin Joe Smokin Joe is offline
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Default Re: July 28 SW ON?

Ya we seem to get lots of that don't we? Leftovers that kill our chances of a good day??? Well at least it's rain we need it up here....
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Old 07-28-2011, 02:39 AM
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Default Re: July 28 SW ON?

Fwiw, new day one SLGT for Essex, Kent, Lambton, Middlesex, Elgin, Norfolk and Oxford Counties. 5% risk extends from about Bruce County SE to Peel Region.

Damaging winds the main threat.

Code:
...NRN OH VALLEY AND SRN GREAT LAKES...
   AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE WILL BE IN PLACE ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES AND OH
   VALLEY TODAY WITH A LARGE AREA OF MODERATE INSTABILITY FROM WI AND
   LOWER MI SWD INTO IL...IND AND OH. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SFC-BASED
   THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST TO INITIATE THIS AFTERNOON ON THE NRN
   EDGE OF THE UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE WHERE FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW STEEP
   LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND UNIDIRECTIONAL WIND PROFILES. THIS SHOULD
   BE SUPPORTIVE OF A WIND DAMAGE THREAT WITH THE MORE INTENSE
   MULTICELLS.
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