Thus. Mar.14 - Possible severe thunderstorms

[stormy kid]

it's looking like we might get some nice thunderstorms on thursday sweeet!!

[DarkSky]

Originally Posted by stormy kid

it's looking like we might get some nice thunderstorms on thursday sweeet!!

Where are you located?

Nothing's in the forecast for me for Thursday. Just rain showers

http://www.weatheroffice.gc.ca/city/..._metric_e.html

[stormy kid]

im in alliston and this is my forcast ---> http://www.weatheroffice.gc.ca/city/..._metric_e.html

[Thunderbolt]

Looks like there's just a risk of a thunderstorm for the North Bay - West Nipissing region in northeastern Ontario. Wonder if we'll get something severe.

http://www.weatheroffice.gc.ca/city/..._metric_e.html

[DarkSky]

Ok, now my area has chance for tstorms too

[Thunderbolt]

I'm getting more and more excited. I shouldn't though because 90% of the time they call for thunderstorms here, we never get any.

Where are these thunderstorms gonna come from?

[benjaminblizzard]

From SPC's Day 2 Outlook:

"...GREAT LAKES/MIDWEST/OH VALLEY...
A WEAK QUASI-STATIONARY FRONT SHOULD EXTEND ACROSS LOWER MI TOWARDS
THE WI/IL BORDER ON THU AFTERNOON. GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT SURFACE
DEW POINTS WILL REACH THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 60S WITHIN THE WARM
SECTOR...AND IN CONJUNCTION WITH STEEP LAPSE RATES COULD SUPPORT
MODERATE TO STRONG INSTABILITY WITH MLCAPE OF 1500-3000 J/KG. THE
LACK OF AN APPARENT IMPULSE/SPEED-MAX WOULD SUGGEST FORCING FOR
ASCENT /BEYOND THE SURFACE BOUNDARY/ AND KINEMATIC PROFILES WILL
REMAIN WEAK. WITH EFFECTIVE SHEAR PERHAPS ONLY REACHING 10-20
KT...STORM-SCALE ORGANIZATION AND COVERAGE MAY REMAIN LIMITED. AS
SUCH...A CATEGORICAL SLIGHT RISK DOES NOT APPEAR WARRANTED ATTM."