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View Full Version : first severe weather outbreak US


obwan
02-19-2011, 09:07 AM
It looks as though the storm season is about to kick off this week. Of course we may have to wait a couple months before we see any of the action, but things are definitely ramping up. If the current weather patterns persist through the summer it could put us in postion for a very active summer.
Some severe potential for the plains today/tommorrow and again Wednesday-Friday.
Any guesses as to which state gets hit first???

davefootball123
02-19-2011, 01:58 PM
I dont think there will be much if any severe weather today however late in the week looks a little more promising.

Derecho
02-20-2011, 10:24 AM
SPC is already mentioning the possibility of tornadoes for Wed-Fri this week from the central Plains to the Tennessee Valley.


UPPER LEVEL COOLING AND A PLUME OF STEEP DEEP LAYER LAPSE RATES WILL
OVERSPREAD THE WARM SECTOR...CREATING A VERY UNSTABLE SITUATION.
ALTHOUGH THE EXACT GEOMETRY OF THE TROUGH MAY NOT BE WELL HANDLED
THIS FAR IN ADVANCE...THE CURRENT MODEL DEPICTION WOULD INDICATE THE
POTENTIAL FOR NUMEROUS SUPERCELLS ALONG THE DRYLINE/COLD
FRONT...RATHER THAN A MORE LINEAR STORM MODE. IN THIS SCENARIO...A
SUBSTANTIAL TORNADO THREAT COULD MATERIALIZE BY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING.

ParkingLot
02-20-2011, 11:19 PM
should be worth keeping an eye on...

davefootball123
02-20-2011, 11:32 PM
Looking at the latest GFS and wow looks good. I could see multiple strong tornadoes from discrete supercells